news 6 days ago

NASCAR at Richmond: Odds, prediction, sleepers, drivers to watch for Toyota Owners 400

Sporting News — (Thomas Lott)

Kyle Busch has a great chance to win once again this week and one needs look no further than the odds to explain why.

The 33-year-old driver is a 2/1 favorite to win the Toyota Owners 400, which are the best odds any driver has had to win a race yet this season.

It's for good reason. He has not only won a Cup-Series high three times this season, but he is coming off of a victory and has six career wins at Richmond Raceway and has finished in the top 10 in six of the last seven races there. And oh yeah, he won both races there last year.

This is Busch's race to lose, but he'll have good competition. As great as Busch has been all year, Joey Logano has quietly been solid with a win and several top 10s and Denny Hamlin has two victories to go with a slew of high finishes, as well.

Those two drivers have combined to win five races at Richmond and have a great chance to keep Busch out of victory lane this week.

We're going to take Logano to win his second race of the season and third career event at Richmond coming off of a third-place finish last week at Bristol.

The Toyota Owners 400 can be seen Saturday at 7:30 p.m. ET on FOX.

What are the betting odds for the Toyota Owners 400?

Kyle Busch 2/1
Kevin Harvick 7/1
Brad Keselowski 7/1
Joey Logano 7/1
Martin Truex Jr. 7/1
Denny Hamlin 10/1
Ryan Blaney 12/1
Chase Elliott 12/1
Clint Bowyer 20/1
Kyle Larson 20/1
Aric Almirola 20/1
Kurt Busch 25/1
Erik Jones 30/1
Jimmie Johnson 30/1
Daniel Suarez 60/1
Austin Dillon 100/1
Ryan Newman 100/1
Alex Bowman 100/1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 100/1
Matt DiBenedetto 100/1
William Byron 300/1
Chris Buescher 300/1
Paul Menard 300/1
Ryan Preece 500/1
Daniel Hemric 500/1
Ty Dillon 1000/1
Darrell "Bubba" Wallace Jr. 1000/1
Michael McDowell 2000/1
David Ragan 5000/1
Field (all others) 1000/1

Which NASCAR drivers should you watch at the Toyota Owners 400?

Keep overlooking Kurt Busch, he's just fine with it. Somehow he is 25/1 to win this race coming off of a second-place finish at Bristol Motor Speedway last week. That makes little sense as he has two wins at Richmond Raceway in his career and six top-10 finishes in his last nine races at the Virginia track.

Kevin Harvick continues to look for his first win of the year and he could get it in Richmond. He has three wins there in his career and seven top-10 finishes in his last nine races there. He is coming off of sixth and 13th place finishes over the last two weeks.

Another driver not getting enough credit this year is Jimmie Johnson. He has four top-10 finishes in eight races, including a fifth and 10th in his last two times out. He has three wins at Richmond in his career and seven top 10s in his last nine races.

One sleeper for the Toyota Owners 400

At 60/1, Daniel Suarez is a nice play this week. Suarez has finished in the top 10 in each of his last three races, has two career top 10s at Richmond in the Cup Series and another three in the Xfinity. He likes Richmond and could factor into this weekend's finish.